FRENCH POLITICS IN FRONT OF AFRICAN CHALLENGES

Jean-Paul Gourévitch
International expert in human resources and specialist of African questions, Jean-Paul Gourévitch worked for UNESCO, the World Bank, French Cooperation, the European Union. he notably published Africa the cash, France (Pré aux Clercs 1997) Immigration the legal fracture (Pré aux Clercs 1998) and African France (Pré aux clercs 2000). He also wrote interactive novels and attempts on the youth literature and on the political image which he teaches the University of Paris XII.

Yaoundé: at the end of the road or new departure

The French - African summit of Yaoundé which has from 17 till 19 January 2001 on " Africa in front of challenge of the globalization " gives the occasion to wonder about the alterations of our politics towards French-speaking Africa at these times when cohabitation in France is supposed to take care of the definition of a consensual strategy as regards to French - African cooperation. This strategy joins within the framework of a globalization from which the high masses of Davos ( economic summit) and of Porto-Alegre ( social summit) come to give us contrasted spectacle.

The summit of Yaoundé was the 21-th of the name since the president Georges Pompidou had gathered in 1973 eleven countries of the French-speaking Square of influence for a first seminar balance - project on the French - African cooperation. It united about forty countries 25 of which represented by their chiefs of state. It is less than the precedent which had gathered in November, 1998 in the Louvre 49 countries and 34 chiefs of State but loss of interest, it explains partially by Laurent-Désiré Kabila's death on the eve of its opening. Several chiefs of state involved in the Congolese conflict preferred to give up the journey or to leave Yaoundé. On the other hand numerous international institutions (World Bank, IMF, BAD, and OUA) were represented and the General Secretary of United Nations, Kofi Annan had moved personally.
Speeches were, without surprise, consensual and set language: require for Africa to take the train of an inevitable globalization while elaborating a frame united and adapted to African realities; bludgeoning of the slogan market economy yes, law of the market not; pleas in a good governance as all the African leaders of state tell to call up of their wishes but which does not exist in any country; and, " last but not least ", propositions of world summits on the globalization. However, beyond formulae, is there new deal from countries of the North towards Africa and how is situated French politics in this meshing?

The French President wanted to be sharp: " The globalization of markets became dominant reference... There is no alternative now Africa participates for less than 1 % in international trade. It receives hardly 1 , 2 % of the streams of world private investments. Africa is absent in the globalization of financial markets. It is more consumer than producer of the globalization ".

Actually not only the African economics stay outside a globalization which makes without them but they are penalized by the difficulty to make their farm produces reach structured markets, regulated on their own, and subsidized as one sees it for the CAP. Besides, economic alterations have led effects in the new world order of the information, the densification and the diversification of the networks of communication and the values of competition or tolerance generated by economy opened and structured. Africa undergoes this state of affairs without being able to make understand its difference.

In front of this shared report, no important decision was announced. Would this summit be reduced to a media operation of moral rehabilitation and political legitimization for the Cameroonian President Paul Biya, whose regime was pinned last year to the charts of the corruption with its 15000 civil servants paid ghosts and its false papers sold for 3000 F a complete set to the candidates for the emigration? The country host that ravaged by poverty and insecurity did not skimp on the reception and the mobilization of the populations for " a globalization with human face ". One even saw John Fru Ndi, the adversary of always, charismatic figure of Social Democratic Front (NFA) to participate in the opening of the congress whereas one proceeded to the restoration of facade of the capital of Cameroon due to the not refundable loans of the French Agency of Development. Successful operation. Against summit organized by some adversaries ended short with the successive departure of delegations incapable to get on a motion. After all, with the recession, Yaoundé appears more as the last summit of the 20-th century than as the first of the 21-th.

Setting back: the double game of the French politics

The moment would be nevertheless chosen well so that French politics makes its aggiornamento. In its navigation, the two without French coxswain distanced its competitor of across the Atlantic. America of George W. Bush has just made known the fundamental of his African realpolitik. No American soldiers engaged in conflicts. No priority for regions where America has no immediate interest. With 9.145 million dollars dedicated to the aid to the developing countries is 0,10 % of the GNP, in second position behind Japan (15323 million dollars), the United States consider that they make enough for the emergent countries. In third position comes France, with 5.637 million dollars, is more 40 billion francs. It dedicates to it 0,39 % of the GNP, what places her in a percentage just behind Netherlands, Luxembourg and Scandinavian countries. These official figures are eminently questionable and we had the occasion of showing* that while France announced 17 billion of assistance in Africa, total aid amounted too in fact in more than 30 billions. Remaining that they give an order of height which it is necessary however to balance by an exam of the beneficiaries. 48 Least advanced moved countries ( PMA) for which assistant all represented in 1999 7,5 % on average of the GNP are not African even though Sao Tome with 79 % of the GNP and Guinea-Bissau with 50 % appears to be leading the pack. Most of the countries of the French Square of influence benefit from a bilateral and multilateral, public and private help, total amount of which spreads out between 5 and 15 % of their GNP.

Secondly France which got it alone is relatively spared by protest which grows inside the Third World against international institutions as the IMF and the World Bank accused for making the game of the United States. There is a lot of excess in these attacks. Certainly the United States with their 17,5 % of voice corresponding to their share have a minority of blocking in a permanent council where decisions are taken with the majority of 85 % but this condition is also valid for Europe (22,5 % of votes) and for group constituted by Russia, China and Saudi Arabia. It is not because the persons in charge for these Institutions are two Occidentals, German Horst Köhler and American James Wolfensohn that politics is dictated by Washington, by Paris, or by Berlin, from which conceptions are different and rival interests. However, today the dominant speech of the French intelligentsia, fed with third world ideology, the demagogy and surfing on the bad consciousness of the West occupies all the space of the debate by obscuring a part of issues. It is the case to take only a single example of the Monde Diplomatique which does not hesitate to speak about the " capitalism of the friends "of the IMF" and the " redistribution of the resources from the poor towards the rich ". It is true that according to the own words of its chief editor Alain Gresh, Diplo is not " a newspaper of debate but a militant newspaper " as moreover, shows by the commitment for ATTAC of his general manager Bernard Cassen.

One can measure devastation caused on the international plan and particularly with the African elite by one prejudice which rejects any divergent thought - I experienced it! - notably the one that would question the dogma of the unconditional cancellation of African national debt. It is today new magic slate. After the moral debt of the draft of the Negroes and the colonization, then the debt of blood of world wars, and finally the financial debt of the profits which the companies of the North continue to make on the back of the populations of the South, Africa found of virtuous lawyers to justify the state of underdevelopment into which successive regimes plunged the continent, forty years after independence: the culprit is stigmatized: it is fault in the IMF and in its policy of structural adaptation. "we just need to do it".

Those that live in the contact of the Africans measure the harm fullness of this simplification. it managed to convince a part of the ruling class and the African public opinion of the truthfulness of a triple equation: international help = West = the United States = profits on the back of the Africans. Simplification all the more pernicious as information in this domain remains economic notably because Africa is the big absentee in the redistribution of the balances of the planet. The Africans were better represented in Davos (20.000 dollars the ticket) than in Porto-Alegre (50 dollars participation). Never the less if they make understand their voice, they did not know how to mobilize on their propositions. It is that globalization and anti-globalization operate on world chessboards, rules of which are little applicable to informal savings and the enclaves of the South.

Now France chose in this subject a median way, some will speak about double game. In Davos, besides the director of the forum Claude Smadja, the heavyweight Ministers, Laurent Fabius and Pierre Moscovici in charge of the economy and the European affairs and Jean-Marie Messier, media boss of Vivendi Universal. To Porto-Alegre, most media José Bové and the light weight Ministers of the foreign trade and the united economy, François Huwart and Nöel Hascoêt. Concern of managing at the same moment the economic decision-makers and the society? Will to distance itself from the American older brother and notably to retake place in a continent which this one after disappointments felt in Congo tends to abandon? Or simply desire, after the cases of corruption, arms dealing, and tax evasion which shook all the establishment since the tribe of President Mitterrand until networks of Pasqua by way of chargé d'affaire for Africa, to agree a break of reflection. Situation in Africa, says Jean-François Bayart, is "purely hopeless".

The failure of models

Since it reached independence sub-Saharan, Africa experienced all the models:
. The cooperative model of a State which insures its development due to the transfers of know-how assured by the technical aid and in the maintenance of infrastructures and in the management of institutions inherited from the colonial era;
. The model of breaking off the de-colonization adjusted with the populist stage setting the glorious odyssey of an auto sufficient country which sends back the men working abroad, seizes their possessions, block the transfers of capital funds, and seek from the rest of international community aid in persons and in resources indispensable to its development;
. Socialist state model, sometimes to the Soviet style sometimes in the Cuban manner, with its popular assemblies, its elections in the unique party, its collectivization of lands more or less rough, and to finish the vassalage of institutions, economy and army controlled by the engineers of the country defender;
. Revolutionary model in Sankara with the dogmatic purity, the mobilization of the inhabitants, the choice of a modest way of life, the accent put on the youth and the education, and the concern to export this model to renew corrupt Africa;
. Federative model with the stage setting of jointly together institutions and resources of several countries, its common foreign policies and its permanent advice for the management of the current affairs, its festivities of inauguration and its system of harness and alternation of the authorized spokesmen;
. Democratic model imported by Europe with its, in theory free elections since the municipal level until the presidential ballot, its international controllers, the constitutional courts guarantors for the equality of the candidates and the fight against the fraud and the vote-catching, and the premiums for the countries which would determinedly undertake in this way;
. Model, world bank with its big projects, the structural adaptation, its reduction of public deficits, the deflation of the civil servants and the privatization of services;
. Finally, model NGO-microdevelopement with the partnership, its twinning, mobilization of the credits of nearness, and ideology of the small is better and black is beautiful.

The loop is buckled. In spite of punctual results, none of these models was able to be efficient or remain enough for a long time in the point to exercise an effect of attraction in the bordering countries. Ideologies showed their fragility, the elite their incapacity to put a lot for the development of their own country and to resist to the seduction of more profitable functions abroad, and the African funds their inclination to go where the money relates and therefore outside the continent.

A program for Africa

After diagnoses, it is the time to remedy. Treatment of shock or alternative medicines? " African plan for the Africans " initialized in Havana in April, 2000 by his three godfathers, the Algerian Abdelaziz Bouteflika (who for the first time participated in the works of the summit of Yaoundé), Nigerian Olusegun Obasanjo and South African Thao Mbeki expect to think positive an image of Africa which would attract the investors and would help Africa to use to finish it with the African exception. The President Abdoulaye Wade proposes for his part a " plan Omega ", kind of plan of the last chance for Africa. In world press every editorial writer takes out his surgical case and drafts his prescriptions. After Michel Camdessus's suggestion to tax the exports of weapons to finance the development of the poor countries and Bechir Ben Yahmed to apply rather this taxation to the consumption of tobacco, this is Young African Economy * which enumerates the set of measures to be set
" The constitution of regional economic groups implying a regional trade agreement which would allow the companies to widen their markets beyond national borders, the end of the ecstasy of the idea of nation as the unique source of legitimization of powers; a revision of policy applied by the international organizations which tried to restore the solvency of developing countries by imposing them Programs of structural adaptation which pressed on economic recovery, a durable solution of the problem of the debt, an intensification of international regulations against environmental risks, sharing universal values (democracy, human rights, good governance) only susceptible to encourage investments as much as populations, etc.... "

In a catalog, blank pages are as important as those that are filled . Since the shouts of alert of René Dumont* which proclaimed in 1962 " Black Africa has badly started " until the current shouts of Africans' revolt as Nicolas Agbohou denouncing" the CFA franc and the Euro against Africa " by way of the questioning of Axelle Kabou " and if Africa refused development " and the denunciations of Jean-François Bayart on " the politics of the womb ", literature concerning the French square of influence sank in Afro pessimism without the good plans of " adult Africa " (Michel Roussin) manage to invert tendency.

The bill of indictment was updated in 1993 by René Dumont
" I accuse the majority of the African leaders of resources at first taken advantage of the privileges of power; I accuse the French cooperation for having agreed to finance sumptuary projects; I accuse the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund for forcing these countries to an austerity paid by the poorest; I accuse, especially, all the leaders by their politic, ignored, ruined and disdained the African farmers. "
The same year, the study group constituted at instigation of the socialist Minister of the cooperation Edwige Avice and piloted by Serge Michaïlof with the cooperation of associations " Better to help the South " and " for a new dialogue with Africa " developed the another scenario of cooperation. Noticing that " the failure of the development in Africa is today obvious and generalized ", it predicted a fast growth of Africa by means of the French power:

" So certain regions of Africa are devoid of any potential, the others abound in energy or mining wealth and comparative advantages for certain agricultural speculations can become exceptional. Africa of the field of the cooperation has considerable trump cards if one compares its situation with those of the other numerous developing countries (Africa off-camera, Bangladesh). It still has an exceptional economic infrastructure (roads, ports, railroad network, telecommunications, energy production, and urban infrastructure). Africa also has a technical and economic consequential frame, which does not have to reinvent, by a long and painful learning, the rules of the market economy... In this period where history hesitates, France has henceforth to put in the background its vote-catching concerns to help primarily the African teams leaders who are really worried to raise their economy to settle objectives and realistic stages. "

Eight years after, the two pleads are always of current events but they changed by no means the deal. There are always so many conflicts, miseries, exploitations, aids, and of oratorical effects. One even multiplied national, regional and international conferences as if the fact of meeting in a pleasant and luxurious frame away from mass movement legitimized any reflection in vitro and gave time to the time. There also, the end of road is close. Those that are excluded from power can not any more wait in the doors of the luxury hotels on which one decides on their lot in their place. Especially since, on the scale of the planet the lobby of the anti-globalization gave example and showed that one can obstruct the projects of politico-economic-military clans and invite itself in his private clubs.

African challenges

Africa shelters today 800 million inhabitants. It will count it between 1,5 and 2 billions in 2050 even though the devastation of the AIDS and the other pandemics, the economic and political insecurity, and the wars which ignite on all the continent carry a blow to the decline of the birthrate. Africa will leave with her children only the choice that between the misery and exile towards these countries of the North all the screens of which offer them an accommodating image and their brothers on the spot of which insure them that one can always "manage" there.

Political solution: Pan-Africans according to Khadafi

Three scenarios can convince the Africans to stay at home, to return there or to make return investors. The first way is political. It is Pan-Africans in a new version, the United States of Africa, with in anti-American star, its herald, the colonel Khadafi, who tempts with his petrodollars and his charisma to restore hope in populations traumatized by dictatorships, tired by coup d'Etat and disappointed by the consequences of democratic fervors. Adoption on July 12, 2000 at the top of the chiefs of state of Lomé of the incorporation of the African Union intended to renew an unsuitable OUA, will it exceed the stage of the incantation? The number of country signers is today of 41 on 53 member countries of the OUA and that the countries which ratified it by their national parliaments of 14. It should progress following Syrte's summit of March 2-3, 2001, a Libyan city situated in 450 kilometers from Tripoli. Rest that if one can mobilize energies to favor the traffic of the persons and goods, creation of a political authority and a specific monetary fund for Africa seem very unpredictable.

This transfer of competence until now entered only its theoretical phase, the one that has to prefigure the passage of the OUA in the African Union. In the superstructure traced on the European Union with its conference of the chiefs of state, its ministerial council and its permanent secretariat, the new African Union will look like the OUA and will not doubtless question the borders of States or the principle of non-intervention. The election of Pan-African members of parliament in universal suffrage remains very problematic, just as much as the rule of campaigns and the definition of powers. Can one consider in desolation of sovereign power on behalf of chiefs of state held with their nomenclature and of their army, and who consider that presidential regime with its identification of the citizens to the government and its conception of the " first leader servant of the people " is the only one who is convenient for the African States? The only election, which mobilizes at the moment the OUA, is that of his new General Secretary foreseen for July 2001...

But the heart of this reform, it is the creation of Pan-African institutions (central bank, monetary fund, investment bank) which have to allow the Africans to make understand their voice in the economic concert and o to engage a not unbalanced dialogue with the financials. What can also change it is ideological reference to human rights, to democracy, to society and to possible penalties but one knows how the African democracies has between dictatorship and democracy found with the personalized formulae which in their realism snap finger at these beautiful principles.

France, one suspects it is not favorable to the Pan-African solution. Its does not carry in its heart Khadafi which was never washed by the charge of attempt on the flight UTA Brazzaville - Paris and of which one discovers that he practices in his country a national preference without any unrealistic humanitarianism immigrationiste. It is against Khadafi that French military presence repositioned in the Chad and it is partially to counter in this threat that the device Recamp was set up to help Africa to be its own policeman and to avoid appearing henceforth in first line every coup d'Etat . However, recent crisis inhabitant of the Ivory Coast showed that France could not remain neutral when its economic interests, its political solidarity or simply the stability of the country were threatened. What does not increase a brand image of France very cut down t in African public opinion and particularly in its youth.

Economic solution: the cancellation of the debt

The second way is of economic order. It is the cancellation of the debt, watchword that benefits from a current of sympathy in the Western opinion and shows solidarity a part of the associative movement with Africa. Debt is for Africa an unbearable burden. According to figures communicated in Yaoundé, the foreign debt of the group of the African countries is been supposed to be in 20 years from 110 billion dollars to 350 billions with a rate of annual increase of 12 % superior to a very population growth superior to the economic growth. It is to say that in this car chase Africa is losing on all the fronts. To speak otherwise, it means that any African home owes to the 5-year-old financiers of its resources. It is evident that if the African countries were forced to pay off their debt, their savings would be in bankruptcy and one observes moreover that for the good pupils, those that as Burkina-Faso honor their terms, the account is very heavy to support. So the financials were forced willy-nilly to wonder about a spiral of the debts where, due to giving to a country about which one knows that it has no means to pay off, one transforms real debt into virtual debt as a big game where the actors can move only by proceeding to cancellations repeated by terms. In the current rhythm of refunds, it would be needed 110 years to sub-Saharan Africa to pay off to the financials the total of the debt contracted in their respect. No banker would accept such a schedule of due dates. However, each plays to play. The lender gives himself good consciousness by granting credits which make forget his previous misdeeds or his draining on the economy of the country; the beneficiary demands the right in " loans not refundable ".

To exempt any accounts those that, in forty years of independence impoverished only their country and enriched their close relations and did not wonder about what Africa did with the funds which were assigned to it, - equivalent of 30.000 F by family over 20 years one risks to reproduce the mechanisms which ended in the exponential increase of the debt. Neither privatization recommended by the financials, nor the fight against the clannishness and corruption in the name of the good governance, nor the capital of competitions obtained within the framework of the agreement of Lomé allowed the African economy to take off. New oil and mining resources are already mortgaged by investments granted for their exploitation or seized by the local potentates.

On this plan, France can legally wonder about its results and its responsibilities. The annual help of France in Africa represents today about 32 billions, is more of 2000F by household income paying income tax, without counting the 40 billion debts of the Third World which France undertook in 2000 to pay off, or direct and indirect aid to the Africans in France which nobody wants to take the risk to amount. Certainly, when 100 francs are paid in Africa in conformance with the aid to the developing countries, there are only 5 francs, which help piloted projects of development or co-piloted by Africans. However, well informed who could determine in advance, about who it is! Evaluations - countries or sectors made by the French cooperation and which would have to end in the setting back of the device served only as report for a hypothetical search of following. Worse, having noticed the perversion of a certain number of circuits of subsidy or activities of training, it was decided, under the pressure of political, to lead them eventually not to punish current operations. So was established a policy of counter made by renewal of operations, of assistantship for institutions, and assertion of preservation of the French presence.

From this point of view, fastening and subordination of the ex-ministry of the Cooperation with the Foreign affairs, this had to establish a visible sign of the reorientation of the French politics, had an inverse effect at our "African friends. When they did not obtain anything from their usual interlocutors, they negotiate with foreign affairs and if they find door closed, they directly address the interlocutors in charge of the African affairs in Matignon or Elysée which, in these " scandals " times, have no interest to see the hot files on the public square.

Cultural solution: education for all or anything

The third way lies in decisive overhangs in education, and in health. On the first point it was necessary, to become disenchanted because real-progress-of the elimination of illiteracy and basic education widely punctured the resources of the African governments and the populations invited to contribute to it. Because of the structural adaptation of plethoric public services and weakness of productive investments, the graduates find themselves unemployed persons and try to exchange outside acquired competence, emptying Africa of its elite. We pay here the invoice of a strategy into which France widely put a lot, that of an improvement of quality of the education, but which was beaten in breach by the recommendations of world conferences and financials on the priority in the basic education to the detriment of the training of the African executives.

From the point of view of the health, situation is outside control and most of the experts doubt that the sexual practices of the Africans can be quickly and durably modified. Tritherapy treatment is untraceable or extremely expensive even though the World Bank calls himself ready to affect a part of the 19 billion francs which its has in the treatment of AIDS; and the humanitarian gestures of firms deprived as the free supply of fluconazol by Pfizer laboratories, for the patients of South Africa who can not buy it remain extremely rare. Those that are affected have only the hope to find in the North the effective remedies and a free medical aid. Even there France made a big effort of reception and follow-up. In its almost-all big cities, even the patients in irregular situation can today be treated free in Urgencies, a practice, which they know very well, although it is not the object of any journalistic exploitation.

Technological solution: virtual immigration?

Is there a system of braking even of inversion of the migratory streams? One speculates today on the chances of the virtual immigration. So in the supplement "Future" of the World of November, 1999, Jacques Attali augured: " Due to new technologies, the graduates of the higher education who will live in a country of the South where one speaks about a language of the North, English, French or Spanish, will be able to work for a country of the North. One will for example be able to decentralize in Morocco or in Algeria most of the tasks which makes French administration. "

This virtual immigration does not concern the only graduates even though it slows down first and foremost brain drain. Eventually it is all the structure of the work that is susceptible to be modified with a redistribution of tasks between the North and the South and so consequently a division of the unemployment. From what is careful today in India or in the Mauritius, it is not excluded that the European or American companies choose to work with Africa if the labor works is there of comparable quality and especially financially attractive. Now when one has a decent salary, and perspectives of opening on the world one can intend to stay at home with his family and its possessions and not to go for the El Dorado in the passage of the Parisian subway, at the dosshouse of Seine-Saint-Denis or immigrants' foyers of the suburb of Lyons.
It supposes obviously that Africa is equipped in new technologies, that one lowers at the same moment the cost of investments and that of communications, and finally that the countries of the South are not only consumers of information in the libraries of knowledge of the North but also producers not to generate, a recolonisation of Africa. In June, 2000 an expert report called UNO to constitute a funding of 500 million dollars to help developing countries to finance their connection with Internet in four years to come. France which defends French-speaking presence on the Net has here a role of foreground to be played.

Africa is the future of Europe

In these little smiling perspectives, the migrations of the South northward accelerate especially since the intra-African migrations which represented until 85 % of streams, are questioned by wars as that of Congo - first African world war, national preferences and progressive lock of States which as South Africa welcomed the African refugees in search of work. Nevertheless, they also change direction. Formerly the English-speaking Africans left for Great Britain, French speakers towards France, and nationals of ex-Zaire in Belgium: practices inherited from the colonial history, favored by the community of languages and encouraged with the Diaspora. Today those that leave Africa tend to practice a shape of migratory shopping according to different opportunities offered by the countries of the European Union, considered incurred risks. Those of France are attractive: the quality of medical care, the opportunities of studies, the importance of social allowances notably for the large families and for those that have no work and the weak risk to be escorted back to the border considering the mobilization of the associative movement.

For the governments of the countries of the North, conscious of the inevitable ascent of the migratory streams, of impossible zero immigration, and the difficulties of integration of an always more numerous African community which demands its part of the growth but succeeds only very difficulty in fitting on the formal market of work, challenge is major. It crystallized for a long time in the term of co-development used by conservative leaders (Charles Pasqua) and of left ( Sami Naïr) who put as principle that by helping the countries of origin of the immigration one will facilitate return to the country of those that left and one will dissuade from leaving those that stayed.

Regrettably this term used in profusion - one has still seen it in the broadcast Serge Moati's broadcast: "riposte " on Africa of February 2001-does not correspond to any model spread on the African continent. One can hardly apply it to punctual experiences - shop windows in the countries of Sahel drives by means of NGO and of humanitarian associations which do not claim at all to be mediatized but plead on the contrary so that one lets develop these construction sites without paralyzing them by evaluations or to corrupt them by generalizations. As for the Africans of France which one interrogates about their future, they do not envisage at all a return in the country and ask with more and more force for a regularization to take advantage of conditions of the host country incomparably superior to those of their country of origin.
Can France free itself from its interventionism, from its neocolonialism and from its practices of banana republic? "No" those estimate, that as François-Xavier Verschave denounce "Françafrique" and its blacks intentions, see in practices and death throes of regimes in places, the occult intervention of networks and constituted an impressive collection of " black files of the African politics of France " (Harmattan). "Yes" thinks on the contrary a part of the experts and the specialists for whom veils gradually remove over the secrets of occult affairs announce a return to more transparency and frankness and another era of the French - African reports connections.

We are here in front of a double language. On one hand the Occidental countries and particularly France would sincerely wish to contribute to the development of emerging countries but have no more any strategy of scale to be proposed. On the other hand the African countries do not accept any more the lessons of those that led them in an impasse, of which they see that they continue to grow rich without them and sometimes on their back. If the African chiefs of state do not refuse subsidies when it is a question of financing big works, to pay the over-dues of civil servants even to embellish the presidential places of residence, they can not or do not want publicly to incur a pact which would subordinate aid granted on the return to their expatriates.

France in front of the African immigration

Is this aid susceptible to invert or to slow down the migratory streams? Figures - questionable seem to show that it is the opposite which occurred. Never Africa received so much and never African immigration was so important. It is that as a supplement to the aid, the politics of welcome with close arms " European countries and strangely of France creates a draft which in civilizations where rumor is passed very fast, incites on departure. Officially the countries of the space of Schengen which want to retain control in their borders let know that after the wave of regularization which touched Germany, Benelux, Italy, France* and Spain, hour was in deportation of the immigrants In fact the European Union looks desperately for a common politics and remains powerless in front of migratory streams.

Illegal immigration is today more important than legal immigration. In France, legal immigration corresponds today according to figures published in the report of the High council in the Integration in 117. 500 entrances a year 96.500 of which come from outside the European space, in progress of 55 % over the previous year. Illegal immigration is scientifically indeclinable and ranges go from 30.000 to 150.000 entrances a year on the French territory One can however base himself on estimations international as those of the WIO. which give between 400.000 and 500.000 immigrants penetrating every year into the space Schengen. In France, after years of blackout of authorities and press, one begins to admit officially that the resident number of immigrants on the territory is at least 500.000. Recent debates on the Comorian immigration (on 2987 in Bouches-du-Rhône according to the prefecture, 40.000 - 50.000 according to associations) or Kurdish (10.000 in France according to, official statements 130.000 according to the discounts of associations) showed not enough credibility of the exposed figures. Censuses list only those that were able to or wanted be listed, leaving aside according to the professor Dupâquier about 1.500.000 persons. Doubtless all the immigrants are not native of sub-Saharan Africa. One finds there North Africans, Chinese, Haitians, Turks and Kurds, nationals of the Eastern Europe and of the Balkans, the Afghans and the Sri Lankans but it is the African wave which is the most important especially if one considers those for that France is not a territory of passage but a place where they are going to settle.
It is necessary obviously to deduct from it the number of those that go out of the territory, voluntarily or according to procedures of deportation. The figure of voluntary candidates exits is not known but it is probably little significant in comparison with the stream of the Frenchmen of stock which emigrates annually (40.000 to 50000 persons). That of deportation is weak (executed 7735 is 17,3 % of taken decisions) and for the Africans it is derisory. At first because there are countries where they can not be materially deported (Somalia, Sierra - Leone) but especially because of the relinquishment of policy of charter flights, the mobilization of the associative movement and the multiplication of legal appeal paralyze any joint action of the State in this matter. The African who manages to put feet on the French ground is practically today to be sure to stay there. It is also the reason for which so many Africans tempt their chance , aware of the fact that they will be anyway helped by their fellow countrymen or by associations which sometimes by unrealistic humanitarianism, sometimes by interest militate for a generous policy of regularization of all what ask for it.

This population increases also by internal growth due to the differential of fertility. The women native of sub-Saharan Black Africa present ratios of fertility still little different from those of their countries of origin (between 4 , 8 and 6, 9) and three or four times superior to the average of the French women of all origins (1 , 7).

Finally it will indeed be necessary to reconsider the legislation on the right of asylum and to fit out the agreement of Geneva which differentiates the political right of asylum of the economic right of asylum and limits it to the victims of pursuits exercised by powers. France has moreover in front of the Algerian drama taken by measures to welcome those that said to themselves victims of the Islamist terrorism. The explosion of applications for asylum notices in Germany, in Great Britain, in France because it is one of only solutions for persons who do not answer the criteria of legal immigration as the contract of employment, the studies or the family entry and settlement and has for limit only the saturation of residence.

In front of this situation, the government cultivates ambiguity. Officially, one exploits that in spite of Mr. Chevènement's departure politics did not change and the fight against illegal immigration and notably against those that take advantage of it is always of current events. Actually several networks of smuggler or employers, particularly Turkish or Chinese, were dismantled but they are reconstituted fast all the more as groupings Mafioso understood that an immigration touching nationals fortunate and susceptible to work was of a good deal. In this pursue, the Africans are saved because African immigration is essentially an immigration of populating and not of labor *, and because the immigrants who have no possibility of paying the wanted rights of way (among 5000 and 20000F) prefer to get themselves on the spot false papers (among 1000 and 5000F) or be sent to them by organizations and friends who in France control this traffic.

However, unofficially the government and the prefects undertook in a wide operation of regularization to avoid any abscess of fixation. It is to say that when Africans try to re-occupy in force St Bernard one expels them at once, but what authorities agree to discuss case by case situations which are far from being corresponding to the criteria of regularization defined in 1997-98 by College of Mediators. Today from Lille to the squat of Aligre's street passing by Orleans or Bobigny, most of conflicts are in process of extinction, what explains that the illegal immigrants have difficulties to mobilize. One even saw in May, 2000 more crowed in the demonstration against the illegal immigration of the association " The Voice of the Frenchmen " than in the assembling organized with hundred associations which supported the national coordination of the illegal immigrants. However, in both cases, demonstrations (between 300 and 2000 participants according to estimations) had no more the media impact of the big parades of 1997.

Not to end

The africanization of France is an indisputable phenomenon and with difficulty that can not be ignored. One does not want or can not dissuade the Africans to come in France. When they are elite that one welcomes arm opened as the information scientists, one answers those that accuse France for " plundering the intellectual wealth of the Third World " that if these wealth do not come in France, they will be our British, American, Canadian or Australian competitors who will take advantage of it. When they are the poorest often without resources or training, one accepts them by speculating on the fact that the children who will come with them in France or who will arise from their union on the French territory, they, will work, and so will supply the labor necessary for the growth of the country and will pay the contribution to pay the pensions of those that welcomed them.

This reception provokes however different phenomena of refusal. The inquiry realized at the request of the advisory committee of human rights and delivered to Prime Minister in March, 2000 raised the fact that if racial discriminations in accommodation or in hiring were widely condemned, the immigrants in France were too numerous and it stigmatized the ascent of an anti-African feeling. In fact public opinion hesitates between two scenarios: the scenario of glory of multiethnic France adjusted by the triumphant assumptions of the stars of sport or music, and catastrophic scenario of the loss of identity of a nation victim of an opposite colonization.

We tried to analyze the crystallization of the second scenario through two concepts. The first is that of legal fracture, the second holds in the slogan of the three I. I as Immigration, I as Islam, I as insecurity. Three fears which one mix in a cocktail of the life-weariness to consume without moderation. Nevertheless, it is not impossible to dissociate the constituents of the mixture. Islam is so different that government makes great effort to find the representatives of it, Islamic-business remains marginal and equation crime - immigration does not take into account Grey crime. In fact the increase of the red crime should less be put in contact with the migratory phenomena than with the ascent of the informal economy which represents today under its different aspects (barter, exchanges of services, alternative economy, trafficking of drug, weapons, animals, plants, medicines, hacking, forgery, e-business) about 25 % of the economy of the country.

Paradoxically this informal economy, which the Africans know well because it is the rule to them, is today a mode of integration which associates in the same solidarity of territory and interest different populations of origin. While the traditional engines of the integration are obsolete (the Church, the army), seized up (the school, the town, the work) or diverted from their first vocation in industries ( sport, music) where suppurate doping, cronyism and corruption

We shall not escape from society of interbreeding arisen from the globalization of the migratory phenomenon. That is why it is important to get ready for it The problem of the African immigration is the major challenge of 21-th century. It is not by rejecting it, by diabolizing it or by changing the name, that one gives himself the means to take up the challenge. Australia gave us example in the opening ceremony of the O.G Of what can make a country determinedly turned to the future, where successive immigrations are associated to the construction of the country, and which chose an aborigine, Cathy Freeman, to light the flame of the peace among the peoples.

Notes
1 Jean-Paul Gourévitch: Africa, cash, France The meadow to the Clerks 1997
2 Diplomatic World: the financial institutions under the fire of the criticism in September, 2000 articles of Isabelle Grunberg and Bernard Cassen
3 Young Africa Economy n°324 5-18 in February, 2001
4 quoted references: René Dumont: Black Africa badly left Threshold 1962 and For Africa I accuse Plon 1993; Nicolas Agbohou; The CFA franc and the Euro against Africa world Solidarity HAS S.1999; Axelle Kabou And if Africa refused development Harmattan on 1991; Jean-François Bayart The State in Africa Fayard on 1989; Serge Michaïlof ( dir ) France and Africa vade mecum for a new journey Karthala on 1993; Michel Roussin Adult-Africa France - empire 1997.
5 François-Xavier Verschave: "la Françafrique". The longest scandal of the Republic Stock 1998, and Black Silence Amphitheatre 2000
6 Officially the operation of regularization of the illegal immigrants had ended in the acceptance of 78000 files on deposited 141.000. However, very unofficially they are about 110. 000 who were at present settled.
7 the illegal immigrants of the squat of "Mason Des Ensembles" which I interviewed for the Other Africa (n°104 of 23/12/99) recognized that none of them had at this moment work. " One can not work and mobilize " ( Sly Mousse).


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